Picking five games against the spread is tough!

If you are in a handicapping contest and need a help, you found the right place.

Below are my 5 NFL Week 1 Circa Sports Million Contest Picks and a few reasons why I like each game for the contest.

Vikings -3.5

No significant money split to indicate more picks for one side.

Why I like the Vikings

  • The Vikings have one of the best home-field advantages in the NFL.
  • The Vikings defensive unit is solid.
  • I like the match-up of a homefield Viking defense against a Pro Football Focus rated #22 Falcons offensive line.
  • Cousins will be at home with a healthy Dalvin Cook to compliment his outstanding receiving core of Diggs and Thielein.
  • I do not think the Falcons defense will be good this year.
  • This is a prime spot for the Vikings to pick up a win… my only concern is if they can cover the hook!

Bills +2.5

No significant money split to indicate more picks for one side.

Why I like the Bills

  1. Adam Gase
  2. Adam Gase
  3. Adam Gase
  • The Jets have a talented roster but I am not a fan of Adam Gase. He is not a coach I am looking to back and will be against him in this division rivalry game.
  • The Bill’s defense should be one of the best defenses in the league.
  • Good luck to an Adam Gase offense going up against a top defensive unit.
  • The stout Bills defensive line should dominate against a Pro Football Focus rated #28 Jets offensive line.
  • Josh Allen made improvements throughout his rookie year and is looking to make a sophomore leap.
  • Josh Allen was the top rated fantasy QB the last 6 weeks of 2018 NFL season… can he keep it rolling??

I think the Bills are the better team and can win the game. I’ll take the points!

Rams -1.5

Carolina LOVE! Holy Smokes the money is on the Panthers!!

This is indicating many picks should come in on the Panthers.

Why I like the Rams

Are the Panthers that good!?!

Did the Super Bowl really skew our opinion of the Rams that much!?!

  • Sean McVay is a better coach than Ron Rivera
  • Todd Gurley should be the most healthy he will be all year.
  • Jared Goff has struggled on the road in his career but I do not see this being a road struggle spot.
  • It will be a warm day in Charlotte and Bank of America Stadium is not the most hostile environment.
  • The Panthers defense can be exploited by a good offense and the Rams have one of the best offenses in football.
  • Shoulder surgery this past offseason and a foot injury in the preseason for Cam.

I think the Rams are clearly the better team and should pick up a Super Bowl bounce back road win to start the season!

Lions -2.5

The money is on Arizona!

Majority of the picks in this game should be on the Cardinals.

Why I like the Lions

  • Lions have a solid offensive line and the Cardinal’s have a bottom of the league pass rush. This should allow time for Stafford to throw.
  • Matthew Stafford feasts on poor defenses and struggles in tougher matchups.
  • If Stafford is ever going to be “MVP Stafford”… it’s in this Week 1 matchup.
  • The Cardinal’s have one of the worst offensive lines in football.
  • You would hope the defensive minded head coach Matt Patricia can scheme up a defense to exploit a poor O line, rookie QB, and rookie head coach calling the plays.
  • No rest or spot advantage for Arizona in Week 1. Home-field should not be as advantageous.

Packers +3

The “Aaron Rodger’s Revenge Tour” starts tonight!

The money is on Chicago!

Majority of the picks in this game should be on the Bears.

Check out 6 Reasons the best NFL Week 1 teaser pick is the Green Bay Packers: 7 point teaser to find out why I love the Packers tonight!