My Circa Sports Millions picks are off to a hot start at 4-1.

Lets hope I can keep the momentum rolling in Week 2.

NFL Week 2 is a tough slate.

Home field advantage is huge in the NFL and I found myself falling in love with road teams.

Let’s hope it does not come back to bite me!

After much deliberation, here are my 5 NFL Week 2 picks against the spread for the Circa Sports Million Contest.

Bills -1

The money looks to be pretty even.

Going back to the well with the Bills.

The Bills almost let me down Week 1 but they managed to pull off a miraculous comeback despite 4 turnovers to get the win.

Why I like the Bills

  • I think the Bills are a good football team with a great defense.
  • The Bills dominated the box score against the Jets, especially yards per play.
  • The Bills just made the same exact short trip last week. They should be familiar.
  • The Giants defense is horrendous. The Bills should be able to generate more offense than last week due to a weaker defensive opponent and positive turnover regression.
  • Eli Manning and the Giants offense is below average. I expect the Bills defense to limit the Giants offense.
  • At -1, I fully expect the Bills to win this game and cover.

Steelers -4

The money is currently favoring a Steelers bounce back.

I hate to be on such a consensus pick in the Steelers but there is too much to like about this game for me to pass up.

Why I like the Steelers

  • The Steelers are not as bad as they showed against the Patriots.
  • The Seahawks are a run first team with limited receiving weapons. This is not a recipe for success in today’s NFL.

I really like the Steelers get get a bounce back win at home to avenge an embarrassing loss to the Patriots.

The Seahawks bad offensive line and struggles away from home lead me to believe the -4 can be covered.

Bears -2.5

Little money on the Broncos

Why I like the Bears

  • We were not giving enough credit to the 2018 Bears defense and too much credit to Vic Fangio.

The Bears defense is still elite!

  • Vic Fangio is struggling to implement his defensive gameplan in Denver.
  • Joe Flacco is a bottom tier and immobile QB. I see the elite Bears defense eating him alive in the pocket.
  • Mitchell Trubisky and Matt Nagy have had extra prep time to bounce back from their embarrassing offensive performance.
  • I believe Nagy will scheme enough offense to put some points on the board.
  • The Bears have extra rest from Thursday and Broncos have negative rest from the Monday Night Football game.

Vikings +3

Lots of love for the Packers!!!

  • The Packers Matt LaFleur offense does not inspire me.
  • A great Bears defense limited the Packers and I believe the stout Zimmer lead Vikings defense can do the same.
  • The Vikings have weapons to score points.
  • This should be a low scoring matchup of division rivals.

The Vikings look like a more complete team at this point in the year.

Give me the Vikings and a field goal!

Chiefs -6.5

OVERREACTION Game!

Too Much Support for the Raiders!

Everybody loves the Raiders!

So one good game from Oakland and a Tyreek Hill injury is really going to make the Raiders a trendy pick!?!?!

I didn’t get it with Carolina last week and I don’t get it with Oakland this week.

Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are running a historic offense.

Sammy Watkins is playing at his full potential and makes the Hill injury less of a concern.

The Raiders lead the NFL in total points against last year and lost star rookie safety Johnathan Abram.

This is a recipe for Chiefs points.

I see the Chiefs winning and scoring plenty along the way.

IF Chiefs -6.5 against the Raiders is the Hill I’m going to die on… so be it!

You can find my teaser picks for NFL Week 2 on the Free Picks & Record page.

Last week my teasers and one under play went 5-1!

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