Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season may be very different than normal.
A COVID-19 format may present some value on the road teams in Week 1.
Teasing down a road-favorite is normally not a profitable teaser strategy.
I’ll give you my 3 best teasers for NFL Week 1.
-Eagles pick em
Both the Eagles and Colts have a similar handicap as they are the superior team in their Week 1 match-up and both teams have a great shot to win their division.
Both the Colts and Eagles are at the top of their division in season win total projections and the Redskins and Jaguars are at the bottom.
Both the Jaguars and Redskins were two of the worst teams in 2019 and will most likely be a bottom 10 team in 2020 as well.
The limited fans setting should make these essentially neutral site games with no home field advantage to be factored in.
All we need is the better team to win a division game.
Bottom Tier Quarterbacks
The reason I like these game so much is because of the opponent quarterbacks.
Both Haskins and Minshew ranked near the bottom of the league in adjusted QBR by FootballOutisders.
I will gladly fade both sophomore QBs as neither were impressive last season.
I will be the first to say I am not anointing Brady and the Bucs as the NFC front runners but there are too many factors not to like about the Buccaneers in this matchup.
- Saints decreased home field advantage due to COVID-19
- Saints locker room turmoil with Drew Brees
- Buccaneers though the key numbers of 3,4,6,7, and 10
- Buccaneers underrated defense
The 2019 Buccaneers were overshadowed by the bipolar QB play of Jameis Winston in 2019.
However the defense was solid….
The Buccaneers should be a solid team in 2020 with more consistent QB play from Tom Brady.
Heck, their win total stands around 9.5 or 10.
If the COVID-19 climate makes for a neutral site like setting… 10 points is way to many in a very winnable game for the Bucs.