The 2020 Patriots win total currently sits around nine at most major sportsbooks.
Bill Belichick is one of the greatest coaches of all time.
Belichick has not lead the Patriots under a .500 record since his first season in New England back in 2000.
Despite the Belichick era dominance, I will give you the 3 reasons you should bet the 2020 Patriots win total… under!
1. Uncertainty around QB play
Newton or Stidham?
Beside Tom Brady’s Week 1 injury in 2008.
Brady quarterbacked Bill Belichik’s entire above .500 tenure in New England.
Tom Brady is now a Tampa Bay Buccaneer. Old News.
Who is going to replace the Hall of Fame quarterback in 2020?
Does Cam Newton return to MVP form or do we get the shell of SuperCam from late 2017 and 2018?
Is Jarrett Stidham the heir apparent to TB12?
Stidham has been in the Patriots system for a year but he hasn’t played.
We don’t know what to expect from Stidham.
Both Patriot quarterbacks have serious questions around their ability to win an NFL football game in 2020 and COVID-19 isn’t helping.
Lack of Preparation
No preseason = no time for Newton or Stidham to prepare and battle for the starting job in a live game format.
2. Key players opting out due to COVID-19
- Dont’a Hightower LB
- Marcus Cannon RT
- Patrick Chung S
- Brandon Bolden RB
- Danny Vitale FB
- Najee Toran backup OL
Hightower, Chung, and Cannon will be sorely missed as they are both quality and experienced players.
Free Agency Departures
Patriots defenders who departed New England in free agency.
- Kyle Van Noy (Dolphins)
- Jaime Collins Sr. (Lions)
- Elandon Roberts (Dolphins)
Key players opting out of the 2020 season due to COVID-19 compounds the issue of missing experienced players on the defensive side of the ball in New England.
The Patriots defense will seek to find an identity simultaneously as the offense adjusts to life without Tom Brady.
3. 9th Hardest 2020 Schedule
Fresh off the easiest schedule in 2019, the Patriots will embark on one of the most difficult schedules in 2020.
The Patriots will face the ninth hardest schedule in 2020 based on opponent 2020 win total projections.
Difficult start to the season
For a team who will needs to find a new identity on both sides of the ball, it would be nice to have an easy start to the season since the preseason is eliminated.
The Patriots may be an underdog in five of the first nine games.
If the Patriots start slow it may be difficult to find a rhythm as the schedule gets easier.
A switch from Newton to Stidham or vice versa has the potential to unfold if the Patriots are not winning early.
Significant changes on both sides of the football combined with a tough schedule has me betting the New England Patriots season win total under in 2020.
My two Patriots 2020 season win total bets
- Under 9 +120
- Under 7.5 +275
Tom Brady will start a new chapter in his career this season.